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Rightmove, publishing its latest report, said Thursday that Britain’s property prices fell more sharply than expected in the last month. Yet despite this newest decline, Rightmove still sees a full recovery in the housing market by 2025, with prices and home sales growth.
According to Rightmove, British asking prices tumbled 1.4 percent in the four weeks ending November 9, which does not seasonally adjust its data. That is a more significant fall than at any time of year: prices usually fall by 0.8%. The slight drop comes as part of still broader economic movements, including a new second-home purchase levied going into effect with the budget set by Chancellor Rachel Reeves on October 30 and the reduction in interest rate by the Bank of England last November 7.
However, the same report claimed that house prices were 1.2% more than last year at the same stage. It simply means that with a sense of speaking about an already rebalanced market, the housing market is now better than during the calmer market condition of 2023.
On the recent movements, Rightmove’s director of property science, Tim Bannister, said: “There’s been a lot of news to digest for home movers over the last few weeks, and it appears that the market may still be chewing it over.” However, he did note that market activity remains stagnant at this point in the year despite recent movements.
According to Bannister, this more muscular activity readies the ground for a promising 2025, with the prospect of a more dynamic market, increased sales, and price rise. For instance, according to Rightmove, house prices are likely to grow by 4% in 2025, the most optimistic view shared by the property portal since 2021.(More)
On the other hand, there are still some bright spots in the UK housing market. Last week, in its latest survey, the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors issued a somewhat guarded optimism view on prospects for the housing sector. Most importantly, RICS noted that the ongoing increase in borrowing costs may continue to drag toward a full market recovery, dampening buyer confidence and activity.
On the other hand, two major mortgage lenders, Halifax and Nationwide, said that house prices rose in October. That is some optimism going into a market that has faced such wide-ranging economic headwinds, such as a rise in interest rates and higher living costs, that eroded affordability for buyers.
The latest trends appear to indicate a soft market decline. Still, then again, Rightmove’s 2025 forecast seems slightly at variance with the common thinking of those who say the trend will be cautiously optimistic. According to the house portal, stability-led factors such as recent interest cuts and the expected policy reforms may create a more propitious environment for buyers and sellers.
This forecast 4% increase in house prices to 2025 might signal the end of stronger market dynamics that have not been seen since the pre-pandemic days. If true, it might indicate a significant shift away from the cautious approach many homebuyers and sellers have always maintained, given that economic trends are still uncertain.
This could be a transitional period for potential buyers or sellers. Asking prices might decline as they might become a real bargain for prospective buyers. However, sellers may have to alter their price expectations this time. Nevertheless, the upward projection of prices into 2025 may present windows of opportunity for both sides of the market in the short term.
Other influences on the housing market are broader economic factors, including government policy, shifting interest rates, and consumer confidence. The next few months will prove crucial for the UK as it adapts to these changes and looks toward what many hope will finally be a more propitious time for property in 2025.
As confusion is deepened in different signals emanating from the economy, market players-investment buyers, property sellers, and vendors-will be very keen to know what eventual happenings will decisively influence decisions on the purchase, sale, and investment into real estate in the future.